Climate Change blog 2. Spain Vulnerability
In my last blog I said that I hoped the government boosts the Renewable Energies. One week after, the government has decided to suspend feed-in tariff pre-allocation procedures and remove economic incentives for renewable energy… Taking into account that, has this decision considered the vulnerability of the country?
According to CVM (2010), Spain vulnerability will increase in the next decades from “moderate” to “high” due to it will suffer different multiple climate stresses. The Monitor measures effects across four main areas: Health Impact, Weather Disasters, Habitat Loss, and Economic Stress.
Figure 1. Climate Vulnerability Monitor 2010.
Source: CVM (2010).
It can be inferred that the most important vulnerability (Acute+) will be associated to populations at risk to desertification due to climate change. In fact, Spain is already having problems with the water supply and the existing stresses on water supplies run headlong into less rain and more heat brought by climate change.
On the other hand, another vulnerability index included is The Global Adaptation Index (GAI, 2012). This index summarizes a country’s Vulnerability to climate change and its Readiness to improve (GAI, 2012). Result show that Spain is located in the 23 position in the ranking because it has both low vulnerability and is ready and open for investments. Thus, the worst results are, as the CVF, in the precipitation change and the hydro power.
Figure 2. GAI results
Source: (GAI, 2012)
Finally, results obtained by the indicators and the Agriculture, Food and Environment Ministry of Spain (MARM, 2012) are the same. It forecast also that temperature rising and the rainfall decreasing will cause more vulnerability in Spain in the future. If all indicators show that vulnerability will be higher in the future, has it sense to remove the economic incentives for renewable energies?
References:
CVM (2010). Climate Vulnerability Monitor 2010. The state of the Climate Crisis. DARA. Climate Vulnerable Forum.
GAI, (2012). Retrieved 2/2/2012 from: http://index.gain.org/country/spain
MARM (2005). Evaluacion Preliminar de los Impactos en España por Efecto del Cambio Climatico. Ministerio de Medio Ambiente. Available in http://www.marm.es/
Comments Off on Climate Change blog 2. Spain Vulnerability /
02 Feb 2012
por
Carlos Cerdan Infantes
IMSD /
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